Interest rates remain low and many lenders are willing to make multifamily construction loans. However, these lenders have become more cautious as the cost of construction has grown faster than apartment rents in many parts of the country. Lenders are looking very carefully at the sponsors who ask for construction loans and the markets where they plan to build.
“Underwriting for these transactions has become more conservative,” says David Shillington, president of Marcus & Millichap Capital Corp.
Worries grow for construction lenders
Demand for apartments remains strong and rents are still rising on average—but significantly more slowly than two year ago, according to market watchers including Reis Inc. and RealPage Inc. Also, some economic indicators, such as the inverted yield curve recorded in March, are flashing signs of a possible recession in the U.S. economy within the next two years.
Most of the lenders who have made construction loans are still willing to make deals. “We don’t see construction lenders fearing an economic recession,” says Leffler. “I don’t know that anyone sees a Great Recession on the horizon.”
However, these lenders are also taking more time to underwrite the loans they consider making. “Construction lenders must account for the lengthy development and lease-up period,” says Shillington. “They are looking for a strong contractor, a guaranteed maximum price contract and a budget that has a healthy contingency and interest reserve.”
Lenders also want to make sure that the developers they lend money to have experience. “The biggest hot button is the track record of the sponsor,” says Leffler.
In addition, the cost of construction is also rising faster than rents in many parts of the country. “After a while you just can’t make the numbers pencil out,” says Leffler. “The challenge for developers is finding those markets where the rents are growing faster than the cost of construction… the secondary markets that are not overwhelmed.”
Interest rates still low
Developers can still get relatively low interest rates on construction loans, even though Federal Reserve officials hiked their benchmark interest rates several times between 2016 and 2018.
Banks have made up some of the difference by cutting the amount that they add to LIBOR. “Pricing has tightened significantly over the last year,” says Shillington.
Banks now often offer interest rates that float about 225 to 250 basis points over 30-day LIBOR for typical multifamily construction loans with recourse, experts say. That’s down from roughly 300 basis points over LIBOR two years ago. However, over the same period LIBOR rose to close to 2.5 percent from a little more than 0.75 percent two years ago.
Banks typically offer loans large enough to cover 65 percent of the cost of construction for an apartment property. ‘The 65 percent loan-to-cost ratio has been pretty steady,” says Leffler. “Lenders are not getting sloppy with their underwriting.”
The number of banks the offer construction loans has increased in recent years, and it is still high. That’s partly because several large construction lenders that had dominated the business cut back on their lending business a few years ago, as regulations like the international Basel III rules came into effect. “That gave a chance to smaller players to get their feet wet. New players come in from out of town to get a foothold,” says Leffler. “The lenders I am working with weren’t even in Atlanta three years ago.”
Meanwhile, larger lenders have since returned to making multifamily construction loans, giving developers lots of options. Several private equity fund managers have also created debt funds that make loans on apartment projects.
“Debt funds have become a very aggressive competitor in the construction lending space,” says Shillington. Leverage can often increase to as much as 80-85 percent of total development costs. “However, pricing tends to [be] higher and can include up-front fees, minimum usage fees, exit fees and higher interest rates that are in the range of Libor plus 350 basis points.”
By: NREI
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