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Archives for April 2021

Landlords on the Lookout for the Right Flexible Space Partner

April 19, 2021 by CARNM

Management agreements that allow flex space operators to share revenues with landlords could be on the horizon.

Landlords are increasingly looking to flex space operators to fill their vacant office space, according to a report by JLL.

While flex space operators have struggled through the pandemic, they could be in for quite a rebound once things return to normal. The combination of companies looking to downsize and save costs and workers wanting more freedom could buoy the space into the future.

While landlords want more office space, operators aren’t willing to take on new leases, according to Ben Munn, managing director of flex space at JLL. The solution could be management agreements that allow flex space operators to share revenues with landlords. Thirty percent of office space could be flexible by 2030, according to JLL.

“The shift to management agreements means the sector can grow quickly with the capital requirements spread across a greater set of partners,” Munn says. “Management agreements can also align landlords and operator incentives, creating a mutually beneficial partnership for all parties.”

Munn says this income stream, similar to hospitality structures, is variable with management agreements rather than fixed-rent leases. Landlords will absorb the cost of the fit-outs, but they will receive a more significant share of the revenue and reduce the risk of leasing to a single tenant. The flex space operator will handle daily operations.

Some landlords will look to run their own brands instead of partnering with flex space operators, JLL predicts. Other owners may look to acquire stakes in coworking firms, such as CBRE’s stake in flexible workplace provider Industrious. Finally, larger coworking operators, like IWG, may scoop up distressed smaller competitors.

There is demand out there for flex space. IWG, for example, recently inked a deal with Nippon Telegraph and Telephone to give the Japanese telecommunications group access to its offices worldwide, according to The Financial Times.

IWG is also moving forward with a model in which it is converting some businesses into franchises, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Demand for flex space will also likely propel new providers into the arena, such as Newmark Group, which is acquiring flexible workspace platform Knotel out of bankruptcy.

Source: “Landlords on the Lookout for the Right Flexible Space Partner“

Filed Under: All News

New Mexico Has Legalized Cannabis. What Comes Next for Businesses?

April 19, 2021 by CARNM

It’s not entirely accurate to say New Mexico will create a brand new industry with the legalization of adult-use recreational cannabis.

Sure, it’s new to the state. But New Mexico has had a multimillion-dollar medical marijuana industry for nearly 15 years now. But plenty of other states legalized adult-use recreational cannabis years ago.

Each of these other states offer lessons for New Mexico, Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham and legislators, who went into a special legislative session to get legalization over the finish line.

With the stroke of a pen on April 12, Lujan Grisham created a market for countless businesses and tens of thousands of potential consumers over the age of 21.

That market — the recreational cannabis market and its associated effects, opportunities and, yes, consequences — figures to touch upon so many established economic sectors and industries.

Business First reached out to real estate, technology and economic development leaders to get an idea of what they expect from a legalized recreational cannabis market in New Mexico. We asked how legalization could affect them, their business or the state. We read through the Cannabis Regulation Act. We came to understand how the legislation carves out areas for different categories of cannabis businesses.

As you can imagine, optimism is high, and details are emerging from the haze. Here’s what we learned.

— Chris Keller

How is this all going to work and what are the benefits?

Now that Lujan Grisham signed the Cannabis Regulation Act, a series of deadlines and milestones  come into play as the New Mexico Cannabis Control Division and other state entities begin building a licensing and regulation framework for businesses.

Commercial retail sales can’t take place until at least April 1, 2022, however the exact language states “no later than.” But between now and then, an advisory committee must be established, licensing criteria must be put into place and applications developed to apply for those licenses.

Right now, New Mexico’s Cannabis Regulation Act identifies 12 kinds of permits or licenses. That’s 12 different sets of criteria and processes to authorize someone to act as a cannabis server — like a bartender for weed — or establish a Vertically Integrated Cannabis Establishment, which could be a jack-of-all-trades courier, manufacturer, producer and retailer.

The state is betting that people will want to.

Then there’s the potential tax revenue, which proponents  point to as a key benefit of recreational cannabis.

In addition to sales tax, New Mexico will place a 12% excise tax on sales of recreational cannabis to start. The excise tax will eventually increase to 18% by 2030.

According to a fiscal impact estimate, the state could add an additional $19.1 million to its general fund revenue in fiscal 2023. Local revenue could exceed $9.4 million in FY23, according to the estimate.

Nearby states might offer some forecasting for New Mexico. Cannabis tax collections in Colorado and Washington, which both allow recreational use, had exceeded initial estimates, according to the Tax Foundation data from 2016.

Nevada, which charges a 10% retail excise tax on cannabis products sold for adult use and not to a patient cardholder, generated $105 million in cannabis excise taxes during fiscal 2020, according to the state. Colorado, which has seen consistent growth in cannabis sales,  saw $387 million in cannabis tax revenue last year, according to the Colorado Department of Revenue.

Both states have larger populations than New Mexico, which had an estimated population of 2,096,829 people as of July 2019, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

The New Mexico Economic Development Department estimates that employment in dispensaries could lead to nearly 1,600 new jobs, according to a fiscal impact estimate. An additional 11,000 or more jobs could be added in production, manufacturing and complementary businesses, according to the estimate. These ancillary businesses include professional services, construction, cultivation supplies and equipment for production and consumption, according to the estimate.

— Collin Krabbe and Chris Keller

Take a peek inside those workplace policies and employee handbooks

New Mexico has had a thriving medical cannabis program since 2007, so employers in the state shouldn’t be caught off guard.

Still, if an employer hasn’t addressed marijuana use in their hiring and employment policies, they have a handful of months to address it, said Christopher Moody, a founder of the employment and labor law firm Moody & Stanford P.C. in Albuquerque.

Moody said employers who hire for safety-sensitive positions would do well to focus on crafting policies to account for recreational use among workers in these roles. Among these kinds of positions are those where driving or operating machinery are key functions, he said.

“If I were advising a client, I would suggest they start to try to distinguish between these positions,” Moody said.

The Cannabis Regulation Act doesn’t restrict an employer from prohibiting or taking employment action against an employee who is impaired, in possession of or using intoxicating substances at work or during work hours, unless there is an agreement between the employer and employee.

However, medical cannabis laws approved by New Mexico lawmakers in 2019 prohibit employers from terminating employees for consumption outside of work, as long as they are not impaired on the job. It’s unclear if these provisions extend to the Cannabis Regulation Act.

“In most situations, New Mexico employers are now prohibited from refusing to hire, discharging or taking any adverse action against a job applicant or employee solely on the basis of the individual having a prescription for and/or using medical marijuana,” according to the Society for Human Resource Management.

SHRM has an entire topic page devoted to marijuana and the workplace to help businesses keep up to date on a landscape that is dynamic and changing quickly.

Protections carved out in New Mexico do not extend to those who work in safety-sensitive positions or those impaired while working. And exceptions apply for businesses that could incur monetary or licensing penalties under federal law or regulations for hiring those who use or test positive for use, according to the SHRM.

This federal exemption stands to factor into the equation in New Mexico, given the level and quantity of defense and other federal contracts that come to businesses here.

Ernie C’de Baca, president and CEO of the Albuquerque Hispano Chamber of Commerce, said his chamber held a forum on cannabis in the workplace just last year. A concern that could be at stake is if someone accepts a job offer, but can’t ultimately start because of a positive drug test despite cannabis being legal in the state.

“People may say, ‘Hey, it’s legal in New Mexico’ — and we have so many federal contracts here in Albuquerque and New Mexico — people need to be educated and trained,” C’de Baca said. “I think there’s that opportunity, which would be helpful to our membership and the business community at large.

“There needs to be a whole training for all that stuff.”

Jerry Schalow, Rio Rancho Regional Chamber of Commerce president and CEO, said local employers may be adversely affected if they need to hire employees for a drug-free environment, using industries like automobile service repair and federal contractors as examples.

— Ron Davis and Chris Ke

Growth opportunities extend outside cannabis producers

Recreational cannabis legalization may create opportunities for companies that provide services to producers. In the case of Terra Vera, an Albuquerque firm using technology to kill viruses and bacteria on plants, legalization presents an opportunity to bring some operations back home.

While based in New Mexico, most of the company’s focus has been outside the state. But that may change if cannabis companies in the state increase production to meet a higher demand driven by recreational use.

[Legalization] generally has a pretty profound impact in increasing the market size, said Carlos Perea, CEO and cofounder of Terra Vera.

In the case of Colorado, retail cannabis sales topped $303 million in 2014, the first year that the state allowed recreational cannabis sales. Medical sales accounted for $380 million that year, according to the Colorado Department of Revenue.

That has a compounding effect because people have to grow product. And that’s where his company fits in, Perea said. He thinks it will significantly increase its market opportunity in New Mexico.

One estimate says the state might need five to seven times the current production of medical cannabis to meet recreational demand.

In the fourth quarter 2020, there were 29,370 mature plants in production by licensed nonprofit producers, according to the New Mexico Department of Health.

Non-cannabis adjacent businesses also stand to benefit.

Paul Stull, president and CEO of the Credit Union Association of New Mexico, said a recreational cannabis industry could have an impact that moves into everything from tourism to accountants and tax advisers, who will be called upon in a new uncharted industry.

And Rob Black, president and CEO of the New Mexico Chamber of Commerce, said legalizing recreational cannabis can help the state recruit and retain its young workforce.

“To grow and diversify our economy, we need to recruit and retain 20- and 30-year-olds to New Mexico,” Black said. “For those coming from places like California, Washington, Colorado or Arizona, legalizing cannabis in New Mexico may make relocating to the Land of Enchantment more inviting, benefiting industries across the spectrum.”

— Collin Krabbe and Ron Davis

Local lenders and banks could get a boost

Jerry Walker, president and CEO of the Independent Community Bankers Association of New Mexico, said his organization is paying more attention to Washington, D.C., than Santa Fe. Why? Because even when recreational cannabis is legalized in New Mexico, federally insured banks legally cannot provide services to cannabis-related businesses, he said.

Walker, along with banking leaders in other states that have legalized cannabis, has been working on safe-harbor legislation out of Washington to make it permissible for commercial banks to  lend to businesses in the industry. Without it, businesses in the cannabis industry would have limited options on where to deposit revenue or take out loans.

“As more states move toward legal recreational use, something has to give,” Walker said. “If the bill passes in Santa Fe, absent legislation at the federal level, it’s going to put the banks in more of a Catch-22 position than they’re in now.”

Stull from the credit union association said there are blurry guidelines for credit unions as well. Unaccounted-for cash circulating, he said, could have an adverse effect on crime.

“Having conflicting state and federal laws make banking difficult, but credit unions with staff who specialize in this process can and do provide this service in New Mexico,” he said.

— Ron Davis

Recruiting business

Aerospace and defense and film-related businesses continue to be at the top of Danielle Casey’s wish list. But the president of Albuquerque Economic Development said legalization stands to impact business recruitment.

“On this issue, it puts us on an equal playing field with other states that have done so and are also home to some of our top competitor regions and target business attraction locations,” Casey said. “We are pleased to serve and assist any firms seeking entry into the market and look forward to doing so in this industry as well.”

Rich Brown, City of Santa Fe economic development director, said the city has no plans for recruiting recreational cannabis businesses as of yet, adding that instead they are looking at the production, manufacturing and complimentary services for the industry — and in coming weeks will have more insight into how to move forward.

“Right now we’re not necessarily looking to recruit cannabis businesses,” Brown said. “We’re actually waiting for the rest of regulations and licensing folks to sort of provide insight. Once they know what that guidance is, then we’re going to develop some sort of strategy around those three categories.”

Gabriel Vasquez, a city councilor in Las Cruces, said he and the city are well positioned to capitalize on recreational cannabis.

“I think Las Cruces is one of the communities that stands to gain the most from the legalization of recreational cannabis,” Vasquez said. “Our proximity to a big market — El Paso, Texas, and Juarez, Mexico — I think creates the conditions for us to be very successful in this effort to create jobs in our community.”

Vasquez added that Las Cruces has a “robust” outdoors scene and said that it can attract not only tourists, but recreational cannabis businesses.

Gross receipts taxes from cannabis-related businesses will benefit local economies, said Kristen Gamboa, Village of Los Lunas senior economic developer.

The additional revenue stands to boost community infrastructure projects and workforce training initiatives

“It would be adding to our economy, not being exported or taken out,” she said, adding that village officials would evaluate proposed cannabis businesses like it does all proposals — based on known or anticipated costs and benefits.

— Matt Narvaiz

Real estate considerations

Area real estate brokers are already fielding calls from those in the cannabis industry, ready for New Mexico to legalize recreational cannabis. The demand is in both industrial space for storage and retail space for dispensaries.

Despite early demand for real estate by cannabis groups, property owners have considerations that could evolve over the next year as the state prepares for legalization.

Chris Anderson, a senior adviser at NAI Sun Vista, said property owners leasing to cannabis businesses have several considerations. Among them are insurance costs, laws regulating minimum distance from  churches, schools and day cares and financing.

The lack of available industrial warehouse space to accommodate cannabis storage could push companies to look on the outskirts of town off Interstates 40 and 25, Anderson said.

A way to address those concerns will need to be through property redevelopment to flip underutilized retail spaces to make way for an emerging industry like recreational cannabis.

“On the retail side of things, it doesn’t seem like there’s a rhyme or reason for what these groups are picking anymore,” said Daniel Kearney, assistant vice president at Resolut RE. “It’s definitely creating a lot of demand for both [retail and industrial] asset classes.

“There are going to be leases signed all over the city and inventory gobbled up. It’s making it a more competitive market for everybody else because now they have to compete with the big money that’s moving in.”

— Ron Davis

Source: “New Mexico Has Legalized Cannabis. What Comes Next for Businesses?“

Filed Under: All News

Marijuana Biz Fueling Real Estate Demand

April 16, 2021 by CARNM

The marijuana business is growing, and companies are in need of properties to accommodate, but inventories and regulations are tight in places where it’s legal.

Commercial real estate practitioners are reporting significant demand for warehouses, land, and storefronts for marijuana businesses in states that have legalized cannabis, according to the National Association of REALTORS®’ newly released “Marijuana and Real Estate: A Budding Issue” report. The report—a survey of more than 8,000 members practicing commercial real estate—examines the legality of marijuana in terms of medical or recreational use and its impact on the real estate market.

“The dynamics of marijuana have been far-reaching over the past year, which is evident when you see how it has impacted real estate,” says Jessica Lautz, vice president of demographics and behavioral insights for NAR. “As the marijuana laws continue to evolve, REALTORS® have witnessed increased demand for commercial properties to store, grow, and sell marijuana.”

But the commercial sector also reports several challenges in finding properties. More than one-third of survey respondents in states where marijuana has been legalized the longest say that inventory has been tight. Respondents in states where marijuana has been legalized more recently also are reporting difficulty finding enough real estate properties for growing or selling cannabis products.

When they do find a property, they’re facing restrictions from landlords, including residential properties. “We saw that a number of property owners at some point in the past had difficulty leasing their property after a previous tenant consumed marijuana there over an extended period,” says Lautz. “To avoid repeats of those issues, landlords have implemented various guidelines that place numerous restrictions on the use of marijuana.”

That has driven more purchases. Twenty-nine percent of commercial agents in states that legalized recreational marijuana over the last four years reported growth in property purchasing over leasing in the last year. Nearly half of those states that legalized both medical and recreational marijuana before 2016 reported seeing addendums added to residential leases restricting growing on properties. Properties with the most constraints tend to be in states where marijuana has been legal the longest.

Also, homeowner associations regularly have policies or restrictions in place pertaining to smoking and growing recreational marijuana in common areas or exposed areas. Nearly half of homeowner associations were against smoking in common areas, according to NAR’s report.

On the other hand, medical marijuana use may face fewer burdens in real estate. Properties used for medical marijuana saw fewer restrictions from landlords. Sixty-nine percent of commercial members in states where only medical marijuana is legal say there were no additional addendums on their leases concerning marijuana plants.

“As the marijuana industry evolves, both commercial and residential landlords are balancing efforts to profit from the progressions, while also ensuring that their property remains desirable and at a high value,” Lautz says.

Source: “Marijuana Biz Fueling Real Estate Demand“

Filed Under: All News

Supply of Starter Homes At Lowest Point in 50 Years

April 16, 2021 by CARNM

“We expect the housing supply shortage to continue to be one of the largest obstacles to inclusive economic growth in the US.”

A shortage of starter homes will be one of the biggest challenges the economic recovery will face going forward, according to a new analysis from Freddie Mac.

The long-term decline in construction of SFRs has been the main driver of the current housing shortage, even prior to COVID-19. In 2018, Freddie Mac estimated a housing shortage of about 2.5 million units measured against long-term demand; that number rose to 3.8 million units by the end of 2020, according to Freddie Mac data. That sustained increase is “extremely unusual,” Freddie Mac economists say, particularly since recessions typically see demand slow and supply rise.

The answer lies in the lack of starter SFRs: in 2020, only 65,000 entry-level homes were completed while 2.38 million first-time homebuyers entered the market.  Contrast that number with figures from the late 1970s, when construction of entry-level homes averaged 418,000 units per year.

The supply of entry-level homes has dwindled steadily since that peak, and even at its cyclical peak in 2004—the same year homeownership peaked—only 186,000 starter SFRs were constructed.

“We expect the housing supply shortage to continue to be one of the largest obstacles to inclusive economic growth in the US,” writes Sam Khater, Vice President and Chief Economist, Economic & Housing Research at Freddie Mac.  “Simply put, we must build more single-family entry-level housing to address this shortage, which has strong implications for the wealth, health and stability of American communities.”

Separately, the most recent NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index showed builder confidence in the SFR market up one point to 83, despite supply chain constraints and rising lumber prices. “While mortgage interest rates have trended higher since February and home prices continue to outstrip inflation, housing demand appears to be unwavering for now as buyer traffic reached its highest level since November,” NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz said.

The problem is despite strong buyer traffic, builders continue to face challenges to add much needed housing supply to the market, NAHB Chairman Chuck Fowke said, pointing to a tight supply chain for residential construction, particularly the cost and availability of building materials such as lumber.

Source: “Supply of Starter Homes At Lowest Point in 50 Years“

Filed Under: All News

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