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Archives for August 2021

Study: QSR diners prefer engaging with staff over technology

August 31, 2021 by CARNM

Dive Brief:

  • Research from JLL’s Big Red Rooster shows that only one in five QSR customers feel service has declined in the past six months, despite a challenged labor market and the return of on-premise dining. One in four diners reported improved service during the period.
  • Fifty-seven percent of consumers believe that restaurant employees have more control over their dining experience than the restaurant brand itself.
  • Only 18% of consumers said that incorporating labor-saving technology is one of the top three things brands can do to improve service. This could put restaurants at odds with diner expectations, as many chains have invested in new technology solutions to ease significant labor pressures plaguing the industry.

Dive Insight:

Most consumers (52%) believe that increasing the number of staff during peak traffic times would create the most positive experiences, while 48% said increasing wages would have the most positive impact, according to Big Red Rooster’s report.

The first request is a tall order for chains struggling to attract and retain talent, especially since many operators are fighting to just maintain normal operating hours. But wages are already on the rise — QSR pay jumped 10% in the second quarter, marking the industry’s largest quarterly jump in years.

The challenge for operators will be striking the balance between their tech investments and those rising labor costs. While restaurants are finding labor-saving solutions in technology, such as QR codes and self-service kiosks, most consumers prefer working with staff throughout their dining experience, per Big Red Rooster’s report. That includes 54% who want help navigating the menu, 59% who want help customizing orders, 50% who want human interaction when paying and 63% who want help receiving the order.

Notably, several concepts are adding labor-saving technologies to the back of the house, including White Castle. Kitchen automation is likely to have less of an impact on customer service and could free up those back-of-the-house employees to redeploy to a customer-facing role and better promote the human interaction most diners still crave.

Still, some tech investments are likely to pay off eventually, as younger consumers are more likely to prefer digital solutions. That said, up to 50% of Gen Z still prefer staff across their QSR experience, per Big Red Rooster.

Just 25% of consumers rated QSR brands as “excellent” in making them feel cared for, Emily Albright Miller, SVP of Strategy at Big Red Rooster, said in a statement.

“Above all, this reiterates the importance of human connection on brand experience,” Miller said.

Big Red Rooster points to Chick-fil-A as a case study on striking such a balance. The brand has ranked first in the American Customer Satisfaction Index for the past seven years even as it increases its labor-saving technology solutions, including robot delivery and dine-in mobile ordering. Consumers keep coming back because of how much the brand pays close attention to the overall customer experience, the report said.

Starbucks could provide another example. In the Big Red Rooster report, 45% of consumers said improved coaching and training for employees would improve experiences. Starbucks is using AI to automate tasks like inventory management, for example, yet is simultaneously increasing its investments in customer service training, Chief Operating Officer John Culver said on the chain’s Q3 earnings call in July.

“Roughly 70% of our partners have been hired in these last 18 months and they’ve been operating in this COVID-restricted environment, so we’re reinvesting now in customer service training for our partners as customers become more mobile and frequent in our stores,” he said.

Source: “”

Filed Under: All News

The Office-Demand Debate: Cushman & Wakefield Sounds a More Positive Tone

August 31, 2021 by CARNM

U.S. gateway market leases are expected to take 15% longer than non-gateway markets to materialize.

Reports are varying about how much demand there is for office space. So, depending on which report proves accurate, office space demand could recover sooner rather than later.

A recent indicator was a bit sobering: In-person tour volume dipping in July, according to the VTS Office Demand Index.

Cushman & Wakefield, by contrast, has noted that the office sector is seeing many green shoots favorable to future demand. The key question is, when will these positive signs materialize into tangible leases. The short answer is no and yes.

Leases in the six U.S. gateway markets are expected to take 15% longer (126 days on average versus 110 days in non-gateway markets). This is a change from the first half of 2019 when the average time was nearly identical for both gateway and non-gateway markets.

Twenty-eight percent of new lease square footage signed in 2021 H1 was scheduled to be occupied before June 30, 2021. Nearly half is planned for move-in during the second half of this year—30 percent in Q3 and 18 percent in Q4. Another 16 percent will be occupied in the first half of next year and the remaining 8 percent is over a year away.

Q2 2021 marked the fifth quarter in a row of negative net absorption and is similar in volume to the last three quarters (all between -36 and -41 msf). National vacancy increased for the seventh straight quarter to 17.2 percent.

New leasing and renewals jumped quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) by 18% and 7%, respectively, in Q2 2021. New leasing was stronger than in any of the previous four quarters. And the four-quarter rolling total of new leasing appears to have bottomed out in Q1, increasing by 11 msf in the most recent quarter—the single-largest increase since Q1 2017.

The Lag from Signed Leases to Occupied Spaces

Looking at activity in the first half of 2021, a few things can be surmised about when absorption will start to impact the market, C&W reported.

There is, of course, a lag between when new leases are executed and when tenants physically occupy the space, which is when net absorption is realized. In the first half of this year, that lag has averaged 117 days (or just under four months), down from 2019 H1 when the average was 140 days, which may indicate some urgency among occupiers who sat on the sidelines for most of 2020 and have now resumed actively exploring their lease options.

The five-year average leading up to the pandemic for leases of 5,000 sf or more was 134 days (or 4.4 months). As one might expect, the larger the lease, the longer the gap between lease execution and move-in. A smaller lease may involve several months of searching and then approximately a quarter to go from lease signature to occupancy. The touring, negotiation, lease signature and move-in process for a larger lease, however, can take four to six quarters or more.

The average gap between lease execution and expected occupancy for 2021 H1 leases of over 50,000 sf is 282 days (nearly nine-and-a-half months). In other words, large leases signed in April, May or June 2021 will not, on average, show up in absorption statistics until Q1 2022.

The impact on net absorption in a given market will be determined by the degree to which these new leases are net-expanding. Tenants that are new to the market altogether and those that are relocating and increasing their space requirements will produce positive absorption.

Conversely, any intra-market moves where the new leases are for less space will still produce net-negative absorption for the market. The length of time that occupiers plan to take between lease execution and space occupation varies across geography, submarket and class.

Source: “The Office-Demand Debate: Cushman & Wakefield Sounds a More Positive Tone”

 

Filed Under: All News

NM Wind Project Of Historic Size Nearly Complete

August 30, 2021 by CARNM

Renewable power developer Pattern Energy is nearing completion of a mammoth wind project in east central New Mexico that, once fully operational in December, will constitute the largest single-phase renewable energy build-out in U.S. history.

The company broke ground last December on its Western Spirit project, which includes four wind farms with 1,050 megawatts of joint generating capacity, plus a new, 155-mile transmission line that will carry the electricity from New Mexico’s gusty eastern plains to California markets.

At more than 1 gigawatt, the Western Spirit farms will be twice the size of Xcel Energy’s 522-MW Sagamore Wind Farm in Roosevelt County, which was pegged as the state’s largest wind facility when it came online last December. Likewise, the new Western Spirit transmission line is the biggest such project to be constructed in New Mexico in 35 years.

To be sure, there are bigger renewable-generation facilities currently operating in the country, said Pattern Energy spokesman Matt Dallas.

“But those other facilities were all built in stages over time,” Dallas said. “Our project is the largest one getting built all at once in U.S. history.”

In general, although electric consumption varies by state and size of homes, 1,050 mW of generating capacity can provide enough electricity to meet the needs of roughly 365,000 homes, Dallas said.

Nearly all the electricity will be sold to California utilities under long-term power purchase agreements, or PPAs. That includes the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power and the city of San Jose in Northern California.

The company also signed a 15-year PPA last May with Uniper North America, which will buy up to 219,000 mW hours of electricity annually, or enough to power about 20,000 homes per year. Uniper North America – a Chicago-based subsidiary of the European company Uniper – will sell most of the electricity to end users in New Mexico.

Both the transmission line and the wind farms are now about two-thirds complete, said Jeremy Turner, Pattern’s New Mexico project development director. The transmission line will be finished by November, and the wind farms will be fully commissioned by the end of December.

“We’re about 90% complete with constructing all the transmission foundations, and about 70% of the transmission structures themselves,” Turner told the Journal. “… Most of the (wind farm) turbines are now installed as well. We have less than 70 to go out of a total of 377 turbines.”

Pattern is investing nearly $1.8 billion in the project. It’s employed more than 1,000 construction workers since last year. And once operational, the transmission line and the wind farms together will provide about 100 permanent jobs.

Project operations will also bring significant revenue to the state, and to local governments, schools districts and landowners. That includes:

• $36 million in property taxes from the transmission line operations over 40 years

• $3 million per year in payments from just the wind-farm operations for local government and school districts in Guadalupe, Lincoln and Torrance counties over the life of those facilities

• $426 million in land-lease payments to local landowners from both the transmission line and wind farms

Pattern executives discussed the Western Spirit project and the potential for building more transmission lines and wind farms in New Mexico with U.S. Department of Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, who visited the state in mid-August. While in Albuquerque, Granholm held a roundtable discussion with Pattern, and with other local industry representatives and public officials to learn about the challenges facing renewable energy development here.

Participants told Granholm that a lot more transmission construction is needed for private developers like Pattern to tap into the immense wind potential offered by New Mexico’s eastern plains.

“We have vast renewable energy resources, but we can’t access them without the transmission,” said Fernando Martinez, executive director of the New Mexico Renewable Energy Transmission Authority.

RETA is a quasi-governmental agency established under former Gov. Bill Richardson. It works in partnership with private developers to build transmission capacity.

RETA actually owns the rights to the Western Spirit transmission line that Pattern is now developing. Once finished, the line will be sold to Public Service Company of New Mexico to maintain and operate it.

But it took 11 years to get all federal, state and local permits in place to build Western Spirit, reflecting immense regulatory hurdles that must be streamlined going forward if the U.S. plans to convert the national electric grid to 100% non-carbon generation by 2035 as proposed by President Joe Biden, said RETA Chairman Bob Busch.

“Eleven years is too long,” Busch told Granholm. “… If we want more transmission to enable renewables, we have to find ways to get the approvals done much faster.”

Pattern itself is planning to invest $2 billion to $3 billion more to build out another 3 GW of local wind farms after the Western Spirit project is complete. But those plans depend on the SunZia Southwest Transmission Project, a massive, 520-mile line that, if built, could carry up to 4.5 GW of electricity from Central New Mexico to Arizona for export to Western markets.

SunZia, however, has been tied up for 15 years in permitting red tape.

“The problem is not figuring out where to build high-voltage transmission lines,” Busch told Granholm. “We know where to build, and even financing isn’t a problem. It’s about one thing – getting the needed permission to site and build it.”

Apart from streamlining regulatory processes, an investment tax credit is also key for driving more transmission development in New Mexico and elsewhere, said Pattern CEO Mike Garland.

That’s something U.S. legislators are now considering in congressional discussions on Biden’s infrastructure investment plans, which could incorporate transmission incentives as part of $300 billion in new renewable energy tax breaks.

“We have big plans to continue here in New Mexico,” Garland told Granholm. “… But we have to have transmission, and investment tax credits are a critical piece of that.”

Source: “NM Wind Project Of Historic Size Nearly Complete“

Filed Under: All News

August Commercial Market Insights

August 30, 2021 by CARNM

On the whole, the commercial real estate market is undergoing a strong recovery although the recovery is starkly bifurcated across property and geographic markets. On one hand, the multifamily market is experiencing the strongest demand since the 2000’s marked by double-digit rent growth. Vacancy rates in multifamily and industrial properties are on average lower now than prior to the pandemic. The retail property market is experiencing positive net absorption. Hotel occupancy rates have also recovered to near pre-pandemic level. On the other hand, the office market continues to experience a decline in occupancy, rising vacancy rates, and lower asking rents on average compared to one year ago.

View the full report here.

Source: “Commercial Market Insights“

Filed Under: All News

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