by George Ratiu
Commercial REALTOR® markets posted accelerating growth in sales and leasing activity during the fourth quarter of 2012. Based on the results of the January Commercial Real Estate Market Survey, commercial practitioners closed the year on a more upbeat note. Commercial REALTORS® rated business opportunities in the fourth quarter 6% higher than the previous quarter.
On the leasing side, activity rose 3% over the previous quarter, indicating rising demand. On the supply side, new construction was down only 1% from the third quarter.
Vacancies declined for all property types, except hotels, which rose to 20.8%. Industrial rates declined 240 basis points, to 15.7% while retail rates decreased 130 basis points, to 16%. Availability for multifamily properties continued on a downward path, with vacancies at 7.3% in the fourth quarter. After a midyear bump, office availability rates slid from 19.3% in the third quarter to 18.2% in the fourth quarter.
With declining availability, landlords were in a position to offer fewer rent concessions. However, rental rates have yet to recover in most REALTOR® markets. In terms of space size, tenant demand was strongest in the 5,000 square feet and below properties. The fourth quarter witnessed growth in demand for spaces in the 7,500-9,999 square foot range. Lease terms remained steady, with 36-month and 60-month leases capturing the bulk of the market.
Investors have actively turned their attention towards secondary and tertiary markets, seeking higher yields in growing markets. Investment sales rose 11% from the third quarter, and a noticeable 18% year-over-year. Nationally, 68% of REALTORS® reported completing a sales transaction during the quarter. Prices decreased 4% compared with a year ago. Cap rates rose for all office properties, except hotels.
(NAR)
commercial practitioners
How Will Changing Demographics Affect Commercial Real Estate?
How will changing demographics affect the commercial real estate market? Steve Lubetkin interviews award-winning speaker Todd Clarke, CCIM to find out what commercial practitioners need to know about Gen X, Gen Y and the echo boomers. Listen here
Rally Critical for Commercial Too
In this month’s Commercial Podcast, I’m happy to share some good news about the commercial real estate sector from our just-released quarterly outlook. Good news is something we can use a lot more of. Also hear why the upcoming REALTOR® Rally in DC on May 17 is an important event for commercial practitioners—and all REALTORS®—to take part in. The Rally isn’t just about housing; we’re also there to remind Congress about how vital commercial real estate is to the economy. I hope to see everyone there.
Orlando Sentinel Reports on NAR Commercial Profile
Downturns in the commercial market have hit the incomes of commercial practitioners, particularly those new agents and associates trying to break into the business. The median dollar volume for lease deals was $330,200 last year — but 42 percent of those surveyed had no leasing transactions in 2009, compared with 28 percent the year before. Read more…