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Archives for April 2020

Multifamily Still Performs Amidst Coronavirus Pandemic

April 17, 2020 by CARNM

Multifamily is not immune to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. However, it is still performing, even if it is haphazard.

Multifamily has proved like any other asset class it is not immune to the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. However, it is still performing, even if it is haphazard. Despite the loss of income some renters face nationwide, they have been consistent in making March and April rental payments. On the other hand, some renters may get comfortable in rental housing as access to mortgage financing freezes up, proving favorable for the multifamily sector in the long run.
A recent National Multifamily Housing Council report found that 84 percent of apartment households made a full or partial rent payment by April 12th, up 15 percentage points from April 5th. In the grand scheme, 90 percent of renters made full or partial payments between April 1st  through the 12th of last year, compared with 91 percent of renters on March 1st through the 12th this year, according to the NMHC. That is a payment rate of 93 percent compared to the same time last month.
Also, LeaseLock found that payments in April were only down 5 percent compared to January through March for renters that pay in the first 6 days of the month, according to a recent GlobeSt.com article.
“If you look at rent collections on multifamily, it’s not as bad as people thought it would look in April,” Richard Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, tells GlobeSt.com.
On the purchase side of the lending market, access to capital has grown more stringent and is barely existent for potential home buyers. According to data from the Urban Institute, for the 70 percent of people who could get a mortgage two months ago to buy a home, they can’t get that capital today and are likely to get stuck renting until the coronavirus pandemic loosens its grip on the U.S. economy, according to Green.
While there are assumptions to be made about the market, there is too much ambiguity around when the country will turn in the direction of stability, according to Green.
“To predict how many months this will last, we’ll have to know how the disease will play out , unless we get a treatment, vaccine or it dies out on its own accord, and even when that happens, than we’re looking at another year after that,” he said.
Source: “Multifamily Still Performs Amidst Coronavirus Pandemic“

Filed Under: COVID-19

A New Office Environment Awaits Returning Workers

April 17, 2020 by CARNM

For starters, there will be a much higher level of cleanliness in the workplace, says architect Bill Halter.

When workers began returning to their offices after weeks and perhaps months of sheltering in place, what will the environment be like? Certainly, the coronavirus era is likely to bring change to the workplace.
Bill Halter, principal at Atlanta architecture firm Cooper Carry, offered some speculation in an interview with GlobeSt.com. Halter heads the firm’s Office Workplace studio.
“There will be a much higher level of cleanliness in the workplace,” Halter says. “There are a number of areas that are hot spots, ranging from kitchen areas to restrooms and anywhere numbers of people interact. There will be new protocols to keep those areas clean. A lot of behaviors will change with respect to cleanliness.”
Another issue will be how to navigate areas that require touching such as the buttons, handles and controls that people touch on a daily basis.
“It really starts at the elevator controls when you arrive at the office,” Halter says. “A lot of that will be scrutinized. Another thing that will have implications is physical distancing and how do we keep people away from one another. That’s going to be challenging. I think we can begin to separate ourselves by removing every other desk or not seating people at every desk. The days of desk hoteling are gone. Sharing a desk is not something we want to do. There will be protocols for entering conference rooms. People will be cleaning their hands almost like entering an operating room.”
Halter says there will be debates about who works in the office. The remote working experience that many people have had in March and April has been a learning experience.
“We will be polling our own firm shortly and see where remote working has worked and where it hasn’t worked. We may decide it’s not a bad way to work for some people. Maybe it’s not necessary for everyone to come in to work every day, but maybe three or four days a week.”
In some cases, people will need to work together for efficiency. Ways will be figured for fewer people to work in the office at the same time. Space requirements might not decrease, but there will be new space arrangements to allow social distancing. There might be split shifts, Halter says.
“We’ve been speculating there may be a trend toward more closed environments, closed offices and workspaces. Offices have been adding people and space has been getting more compressed over the years. That model may change with space spread out in a different way, but I’m not quite sure how that will look.”
Halter says since no one understands the virus well enough to know what’s safe, there will be an interim period with new protocols as everyone figures out how to manage offices. These protocols may or may not be permanent.
Other changes might be elimination of office restroom doors, replacing them with a kind of vestibule similar to airports and stadiums. There will be better filtration systems. Automated doors may be prevalent in some areas.
“We are all champing at the bit to get back to some new level of normal,” Halter says. “Gradually we will get to a new normal and when we reach that point there will be some changes in the way we work, but it’s hard to tell how extensive it will be at this stage.”
Source: “A New Office Environment Awaits Returning Workers”

Filed Under: COVID-19

Office Tenants of All Sizes Are Asking for Rent Relief. Some Institutional Owners Are Offering Them Deferrals

April 15, 2020 by CARNM

“This is not the time to negotiate for the last nickel,” stresses one source, as tenants and landlords both need to survive.
With the COVID-19 shutdown interrupting business operations across a large swath of industries, office tenants have begun seeking rent relief. For example, Kenneth S. Fields, Los Angeles attorney at law firm Greenberg Glusker, says his office tenant clients are asking if they can stop paying rent, and landlord clients are seeking advice on what to do if tenants stop paying.
Whether an office landlord can evict a tenant for non-payment of rent or if the tenant is legally responsible for paying rent during the shutdown depends on what’s written in the lease, Fields notes. So, both parties should review their leases to determine how the documents address the current situation, if at all.

For example, a “force majeure” clause in a lease absolves tenants from paying rent when an “Act of God” or an insurmountable man-made interference prevents their ability to meet contractual obligations, so the coronavirus qualifies as force majeure, according to Fields.
Meanwhile, state and local governments, including Los Angeles, Los Angeles County, New York, King County where Seattle is located and other major cities, have enacted emergency legislation prohibiting evictions of both residential and commercial tenants for non-payment of rent during this economic crisis.

“Tenants have become knowledgeable about their deferral rights under state or local laws and many office tenants large and small are either asking for help or simply not paying rent,” Fields says, noting that office landlords also know the rules and both parties are aware that most courts are currently closed.
However, emergency legislation typically only provides for rent deferral, so tenants must pay the rent eventually, generally over a period of three to six months after the deferral expires. Additionally, an office tenant must be able to establish that the COVID-19 situation actually prevents it from paying rent, Fields says. “This may be more difficult for larger corporate tenants that presumably have larger cash reserves and/or access to capital that allows them to continue paying rent” compared to small business tenants.
“We’re seeing asks for relief from companies of all sizes,” says Nick Axford, global head of research at real estate services firm Avison Young. “Workforce characteristics, industry, geographic location, local market conditions, remaining term of lease, and relationship with the landlord are all factors.”
It remains to be seen how the courts will resolve rental disputes arising from the shutdown, Fields notes. But the situation is already putting stress on tenant/landlord relationships, he says. Landlords rely on rental income to fund their own financial obligations and loan documents most likely require the landlord to obtain lender consent before waiving or deferring a tenant’s rent, he says. An institutional landlord and other landlords with low-debt leverage may be able to bear a larger and longer rent deferral than a landlord with low reserves or a heavy debt load, Fields adds. He notes that some institutional landlords have already offered their tenants multi-month deferrals with payback schedules.
How landlords respond to office tenant requests for rent deferrals or reductions will in part depend on the wording of the lease, but in most cases, it will be a matter of individual judgment as much as legality, and will vary widely, adds Axford.
“The size and financial stability of the tenant, the historic relationship with the landlord, and the landlord’s desire to retain the tenant within the building are all factors considered,” he says, noting that the recent U.S stimulus package did not address this issue. The $850 billion in the CARES Act earmarked for businesses and governments provides federal loans that can be used for payroll, rent or utilities expenses, but those loans must be repaid.

Most landlords will expect tenants to seek help from the Small Business Administration (SBA), rather asking them to bear all the pain, in Fields’ view. Under the CARES Act, the SBA will provide businesses with loans of up to $10 million. But landlords should recognize that tenants who seek Payroll Protection Loans (PPLs) from the SBA will want to do so in a manner that allows for complete loan forgiveness, rather than leaving their company laden with debt when the market begins to normalize, Fields says.
As a result, he advises office tenants and landlords to work together to find a solution that will enable both parties to survive, based on what each is capable of doing under the circumstances. “This is not the time to negotiate for the last nickel,” he stresses.

The day after tomorrow

While it is too early predict the exact nature and duration of COVID-related damage, Axford, who served as a lead author on a recent report titled “COVID-19 Impacts on Real Estate,” notes that the call for social distancing will likely change workplace strategies across the board, from traditional office leasing models to flexible office operators.
“On the flexible side, we anticipate the beginning of a consolidation within the flexible operator community where those positioned for growth will absorb operations of those currently looking at survival,” Axford says. “Owners with (co-working) operators in survival mode could be left with viable flex locations and a decision to make.”
While some may attempt to re-lease these spaces to other co-working operators, there will likely be an increase in owner-operator management agreements with proven operators in existing spaces, he forecasts.
Overall, office landlords should expect some changes in how tenants utilize space going forward, according to Fields. “I expect that tenants with contraction rights will look at exercising those rights, and tenants without contraction rights will investigate subletting space. A landlord should review the assignment and subletting provisions of the lease carefully. the lease will dictate the landlord’s response to tenant sublets, but landlords have the right to demand additional security and/or a share in the profits,” he notes. “And where credit is an issue the landlord should consider obtaining letters-of-credit in lieu of a cash security deposit to mitigate bankruptcy exposure.”

The Avison Young report suggests that the working-from-home experiment during the quarantine may accelerate the remote working movement and increase employee flexible working options. “This time is validating that people can work remotely and be productive,” Axford says. That could lead to a significant shift in how corporate occupiers manage their office portfolios.
“Flexible workspace among occupiers was already a growth driver in the sector, with organizations finding it increasingly difficult to commit to long-term leases. This will only be further impacted as we navigate a recession,” Axford notes.
Office tenants will emerge from this crisis having gone through the largest global experiment ever in remote working. This will likely drive corporate demand for flexible lease terms made available directly by institutional landlords.
“Whether an occupier, operator, or institutional owner, financial projections for 2020 have been disrupted and each party must engage in a proactive approach to mitigate short-term risk and realign long-term portfolio management strategies,” he says.
Source: “Office Tenants of All Sizes Are Asking for Rent Relief. Some Institutional Owners Are Offering Them Deferrals”

Filed Under: COVID-19

Operating Multifamily Properties in a Time of No Evictions

April 13, 2020 by CARNM

Most property managers are working with tenants on payment plans or other relief measures, but have concerns about abilities to cover costs and pay mortgages down the line.
A web of legislation and executive orders across the U.S. now forbid property managers from evicting residents of rental apartments who miss rental payments during the COVID-19 national health emergency.
But many landlords are struggling to balance the needs of residents who are now unemployed and underemployed with their own pressures of continuing to operate properties safely and pay monthly mortgage payments. In addition, managers have to sort through relief requests to determine which residents need it most.

The U.S. economy has largely frozen as workers and shoppers stay home to “shelter in place” to slow the rapid spread of the lethal coronavirus. Businesses are quickly laying off employees—more than 16 million workers have filed for unemployment in the past three weeks.
“There has never been a period when job loss was so severe in such a short time period,” says Greg Willett, chief economist for RealPage, Inc. “The number of households missing rent payments in April and May will reach unprecedented levels.”
Congress has passed a $2 trillion law to prop up the economy and offer extra support to unemployed workers. But many are still expected to feel the pain of the stalled economy, including many workers who for one reason or other are not eligible for unemployment.

Apartment managers are already preparing to the worst. “They are concerned about the ability of residents to stay up to date with their payments,” says Paula Cino, vice president of construction, development and land use policy for the National Multifamily Housing Ccouncil.
The first broad measure of missed rental payments was published last week by NMHC, using data from several tech providers to compile payment information on more 13 million apartment units across the country. The tracker found 69 percent of households had paid their rent by April 5; this compares to 81 percent that had paid by March 5, 2020, and 82 percent that had paid by the same time last year. The numbers were not as bad as some experts feared, but many anticipate the May figures could be worse.
“Challenges are likely to be biggest in the lower-tier product,” says Willett. “Renters in those properties generally have very high rent-to-income ratios, and it is unusual for them to have any financial reserves that would allow them to cope with an interrupted income stream.”
Many apartment managers have audited their own lease files to determine who might be out of work. These managers have reached out to or heard from residents who may have lost income to begin a dialogue. For example, the majority of apartment managers who use RealPage’s property management systems report that they had already reached out before April 1 to their residents to identify those who may have lost income.
“Most landlords are likely going to encourage payment plans that call for residents to pay some portion of their rent every month, rather than skipping payment periods entirely,” says Willett. “The probability of eventual collection of overall debt increases quite a bit with that approach.”
Property managers are also likely ask resident who need forbearance to extend their lease terms, which will give the residents more time to pay off any back rent. “Property owners and operators realize that they will have to work with residents to structure rent payment options,” says Willett.
In the short term, many owners can bear the brunt of the reduced income streams, especially with lenders also showing some flexibility in the heat of the crisis. But if rental income takes a hit for months on end, that will create a larger strain on the sector and potentially trigger loan defaults and delinquencies and make it difficult for owners to cover the operational and maintenance costs at properties that are now being used more than ever. Multifamily owners are not used to having most or all of their tenants on site all of the time, as is the case now with the lockdowns in place.
To protect tenants, Congress, federal agencies and a long list of local governments have imposed moratoriums on evictions of residents of apartments who miss rental payments during the crisis.
For example, the CARES Act passed by Congress imposes a 120-day moratorium on tenant eviction filings and late fees for almost all of the nation’s affordable housing properties.
In addition, the Federal Housing Finance Agency announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will offer multifamily property owners mortgage forbearance with the condition that they suspend all evictions for renters unable to pay rent due to the impact of coronavirus.
Cities and states have also passed eviction moratoriums, including most of the places that have seriously considered or passed rent control legislation, such as New York State, California and the city of Seattle.
For example, New York State Governor Andrew Cuomo announced New York state’s moratorium on March 31.
“You cannot be evicted for non-payment of rent, residential or commercial, for 90 days,” said Cuomo in his daily briefing that day.
“On that basis, my daughters have stopped paying me rent. I’m not even sure that their finances have dropped significantly. But I just think they are taking advantage of the non-eviction order that I myself posted. And I resent it. But there is nothing I can do about it, legally.”
Housing advocates like the National Low-Income Housing Coalition also continue to press Congress to pass a national moratorium on evictions and foreclosures.
For any property not covered by these rules, it is unlikely that they could go forward with an eviction anyway. “An eviction typically requires a municipal court filing,” says Willett. “Those courts are temporarily closed right now in most locations. Thus, regardless of whether or not there’s an official moratorium on evictions, they generally can’t proceed at this point.”

The apartment industry largely agrees that evictions should not go forward during the crisis—with some exceptions. Over the next 90 days, managers of apartment properties should not evict renters who can show they have been financially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the NMHC—with exceptions for property damage, criminal activity or actions that endanger other residents.
In addition, NMHC and the National Apartment Association have called for further relief and recovery measures to help both tenants and landlords
The list of propopsed measures the groups are pushing for include:

  • Create an Emergency Rental Assistance Program to help renter households who don’t currently receive federal rental subsidies but are now struggling to cover housing costs because of the COVID-19 crisis;
  • Align the timelines of mortgage forbearance and eviction provisions;
  • Expand the SBA Paycheck Protection Program to include multifamily and student housing firms so they can protect their employees and operations;
  • Provide critical tax relief for multifamily property owners; and
  • Enact critical infrastructure programs to support economic recovery

Source: “Operating Multifamily Properties in a Time of No Evictions”

Filed Under: COVID-19

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