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Archives for July 2020

Why Mall Landlords Are Turning Empty Anchors into Fulfillment Centers

July 27, 2020 by CARNM

Washington Prime Group is among the landlords who are filling anchor vacancies with fulfillment operations.
Beleaguered retailer Sears plans to close its store at Morgantown Mall in Morgantown, W.Va. before the end of this year, leaving an 80,000-sq.-ft. space without an anchor. But in a move that would have been unimaginable in the heyday of traditional retail in general and Sears in particular, mall owner Washington Prime Group Inc. already has lined up a new tenant—WVU Medicine, the largest health care system in West Virginia.
Of course, WVU Medicine won’t be selling appliances, apparel or housewares at this space. And it won’t be treating patients there. Rather, the space will be converted into a logistics, distribution and fulfillment center for WVU Medicine for items like personal protective equipment (PPE) and medical equipment.
The Sears conversion represents the first project in Washington Prime Group’s Fulventory initiative, announced in May. The initiative aims to replace shuttered retail spaces at the REIT’s properties with centers geared toward last-mile fulfillment, BOPIS (buy online and pick up in store) and clearance merchandise operations. Lou Conforti, CEO of the Columbus, Ohio-based REIT, says 20 to 25 retail-to-warehouse conversions are already in the pipeline among the company’s more than 100-property portfolio.

Washington Prime Group’s Sears conversion in Morgantown also represents one piece of a broader trend—property owners transforming large retail spaces, oftentimes former big-box and department stores, into fulfillment centers and other logistics facilities. In another example, Simon Property Group has partnered with Fillogic, a New York City-based technology company with a logistics-as-a-service platform, to open Fillogic Hubs at some of its properties. The company will be opening Fillogic Hubs at the Livingston Mall and Gloucester Premium Outlets.
A report released July 23 by CBRE Research shows that 13.8 million sq. ft. of retail space—roughly equivalent to 35 small-format regional malls—has been converted to 15.5 million sq. ft. of industrial space across the country since 2017.
CBRE Research’s recent survey uncovered 59 retail-to-industrial conversion projects that have been completed, have been proposed or are underway since 2017. By comparison, its January 2019 survey tallied 24 such projects.
“As online retail evolves and expands, many retailers and developers will find opportunities to convert underperforming stores into final-mile distribution sites to support e-commerce operations,” John Morris, Americas industrial, logistics and retail leader at CBRE, said in a July 23 news release. “With rising industrial rents and changing consumer patterns, we should see this activity continue to grow, as more retail sites will be economically viable for these types of conversions.”

Taking outside-the-box risks

To remain relevant, many retail brands will adopt the retail-to-industrial model, enabling them to blend aspects of traditional retail and e-commerce, says Joanne Heyob, senior vice president of operations strategy and design at Dublin, Ohio-based retail design firm WD Partners Inc. These days, retailers must be “extremely flexible” with how they use space, she says.
Heyob envisions the possibility that an empty retail space might not be occupied by just one fulfillment tenant, but would be subdivided for several tenants, such as a fulfillment operation and a medical clinic.
Additionally, retail landlords continue to seek creative ways to keep space occupied and stay afloat, and that equation includes fulfillment, Heyob notes. This is an especially critical consideration as landlords grapple with the coronavirus-hobbled experiential components of retail, like food halls and movie theaters.
“I think where there is some pushback from some of the landlords is do they want to use their space like that? Do they want to have dark doors in their centers?” Heyob says.
To be sure, a retail landlord wouldn’t want to turn all of its square footage at a mall into one massive fulfillment center, she notes. But she believes there’s room for fulfillment within malls and other retail properties.
In fact, many retailers have already incorporated fulfillment into their bricks-and-mortar operations, Heyob says. “The landlords know this. Sometimes I think they don’t want to acknowledge that that’s truly what they’re doing.” She points out that some retail property owners aren’t eager to report financial results reflecting per-sq.-ft. numbers that might be dinged by fulfillment uses.
However, retail landlords will likely embrace fulfillment as a chunk of their properties once a “big gun” property owner pulls the trigger and achieves success with a retail-and-fulfillment hybrid.
“It’s about taking risks right now. You can’t be conservative in your thinking right now if you are a retailer or a landlord,” Heyob says. “You’ve got to be willing to try different out-of-the-box things to be relevant and to be around come 2021. If you don’t, you will sink.”

Adopting a “holistic” approach

One way Washington Prime Group is testing out-of-the-box concepts is its Fulventory program. A key reason why the REIT launched the program is the growing appeal of BOPIS. According to data cited by Washington Prime Group, adoption of BOPIS is expected to soar from a 44 percent share of U.S. retailers in 2016 to a 90 percent share by 2024. In many cases, the REIT notes, BOPIS transactions lead to additional in-store purchases.
Washington Prime Group offers small, midsize and large fulfillment options at its enclosed and open-air properties. All of the fulfillment operations will feature interior and exterior entryways, along with around-the-clock access. If a retailer occupies both traditional and fulfillment space at one of the REIT’s properties, those spaces will be situated an average of a 45-second walk from each other. Some of the fulfillment locations might contain space to sell clearance merchandise.
The Fulventory initiative shifts the retail real estate model from passive to proactive, delivering another means of serving consumers, Conforti says. “This not a rent collection business,” he notes. “This is an operating business.”
As such, Conforti thinks each of Washington Prime Group’s properties should include a fulfillment component. He scoffs at the notion that these spaces would put a dent in sales per sq. ft., dismissing the “absolute and utter reliance” on this metric.
If adding fulfillment capabilities at the REIT’s properties “provides a holistic solution and betters the experience of our guests, we will win in the long run,” says Conforti, emphasizing that he’s not trying to steal market share from the likes of San Francisco-based industrial REIT Prologis Inc.
He shrugs off critics who insist that initiating a project like Fulventory is an act of desperation. “It’s what we should be doing. We should be more operational,” he says. “We are in the logistics and distribution business, ultimately.”

Making a “reactionary” move?

Retail-to-industrial conversions aren’t anything new, says Shlomo Chopp, founder and CEO of New York City-based clicks-and-bricks hybrid ShopFulfill Corp. and managing partner of New York City-based investment management firm Case Equity Partners LLC. But now that retailers largely welcome e-commerce as a “panacea” for their industry, some are taking a “reactionary” jump into establishing fulfillment operations under the mistaken notion that pure-play e-commerce succeeds, he notes.
As for retail landlords, they’re “missing the point” when it comes to fulfillment, Chopp says. He calls it a “fool’s errand” for landlords to hand over traditional space to tenants for e-commerce-supported logistics operations—a situation that he sees as aggressive in the best case and an overreaction in the worst case. But he acknowledges that “99 percent of the world doesn’t see it the way I see it.”
“I don’t buy this whole convert-to-fulfillment-center angle. It doesn’t make sense,” Chopp says.
Simply transforming unused space at a retail property into a fulfillment center doesn’t pan out in his view. For retail and fulfillment to truly coexist, there must be a solid benefit for both a store and an e-commerce operation, he says. “I have heard of no solution out there right now that can work.”
That’s why Chopp is working on his own solution under the Anchor Shops banner. Last year, ShopFulfill debuted a leased retail spot in Philadelphia and a leased distribution center in nearby Moorestown, N.J., as the first combo in the Anchor Shops program, designed to enable online retailers to set up a physical presence backed by a distribution network.
Now, Chopp is pivoting to a retail-and-fulfillment mash-up whose spaces would most likely be owned by ShopFulfill and occupied by retail tenants. He aims to switch the role of a retail landlord from a purveyor of space to a purveyor of infrastructure, marrying traditional retail with e-commerce and logistics. ShopFulfill is scoping out retail centers measuring 150,000 to 250,000 sq. ft. that would be split into roughly 3,000 to 8,000 sq. ft. per tenant.
“It’s our belief that that we can single-handedly redefine retail and e-commerce to just be part of commerce and not to be viewed as separate businesses,” Chopp says.
Source: “Why Mall Landlords Are Turning Empty Anchors into Fulfillment Centers”

Filed Under: COVID-19

Office Space Demand Expected to Drop 10-15% as More People Work From Home

July 27, 2020 by CARNM

The expected reduction in office demand may be offset by de-densification, another new trend.

A new report suggests the office real estate sector, especially in gateway cities like New York, San Francisco and Washington, DC, will feel the pain for years from the pandemic-led work from home trend.
“The notion that a well-located office building full of highly paid workers in or near a dense, expensive city is the best way to operate a successful firm has been challenged by the acceptance of remote work,” said the report by Green Street Advisors, a real estate research company. ”Coupled with an increase in individuals who no longer regularly go into the office, many more may consider moving further away from coastal city centers.”
Overall, the need for office space will decline by 10-15% because so many people are working from home, and the trend could become a permanent employment benefit after the pandemic has passed, wrote Danny Ismail, lead office analyst of Green Street.
The reason that working from home may become permanent is because it’s been widely successful. Remote employees or just as productive—sometimes more so—and they like not commuting and having scheduling flexibility, the report said. In the future, some employees will still go to the office every day, but others may not go daily.
Ismail wrote that he did not expect a fully work-from-home world. Companies’ success depends too much on factors like organizational culture, corporate communication and employee retention, he explained.
The expected 10-15% reduction in office demand may be offset by another trend, however. In the past decade, companies squeezed more employees into the same office space. The need for social distancing could undo this densification trend, the report said.
“A shift toward de-densification could prove a boon to office demand and potentially offset the impact” of working from home, wrote Ismail. “Investors should remain open-minded about a de-densification trend as this reversal could have material positives for the office sector.”
The report also noted that Green Street expects for the need for office space to shift geographically away from gateway markets, which are large international cities that serve as entry points into the country. Smaller cities are not so economically sensitive and offer a lower cost of living and better fiscal health, said the report.
For example, the top five cities that will be “winners” as the work from home rate accelerates are: Raleigh, North Carolina; Denver, Colorado; Charlotte, North Carolina; Austin, Texas; and Phoenix, Arizona.
In contrast, the five cities that may benefit the least from the trend are: San Jose, California; New York City; Washington, D.C.; Boston, Massachusetts; and Houston, Texas.
“Employers and employees see more of their income lost due to taxes in gateway markets compared to Sun Belt markets, which has partially driven the recent large net migration towards the Southeastern United States,” wrote Ismail. “Less expensive locales with nice weather will attract talent from high cost and high tax markets.”
Source: “Office Space Demand Expected to Drop 10-15% as More People Work From Home”

Filed Under: COVID-19

Who Is Responsible for Property Alterations Due to Coronavirus?

July 24, 2020 by CARNM

Most leases require that the tenants is responsible for property alterations, but it can depend on the lease.

Many landlords are updating property health and safety requirements to comply with new local and state regulations. In most cases, interior property alterations will be the tenant’s responsibility, but some leases require that costs be split between the landlord and the tenant. When adding new requirements to the lease, Dan Villalpando, a partner at Cox, Castle & Nicholson LLP, says that landlords should be clear who is responsible.
“While some leases provide that any alterations made in the premises are the tenant’s responsibility, others split the responsibility between the parties based on the nature of the alteration, whether it is required by law and whether it applies just to the tenant’s space or to retail spaces in general,” says Villalpando. “In light of the general uncertainty following COVID-19, landlords should make sure that their leases require tenants to make at the tenants’ expense any and all alterations required by law, including those borne out of force majeure events.”
This includes exterior changes to accommodate social distancing that might fall into a common area space, which can be a gray area. “From a landlord’s perspective, the cost of any barriers within the premises required to force customers to social distance or to further separate customers from employees should be the responsibility of the tenant,” says Villalpando. “If such barriers are structural in nature, a landlord will also want approval rights over the location of, and materials used for, such barriers.”
Existing rules and regulations could also be impacted by the coronavirus and new regulations regarding health and safety. “Some leases provide specific lists of rules and regulations that a tenant must follow, while others give landlords the right to impose reasonable rules at any point during the term,” says Villalpando. “Either way, a landlord may want to impose various rules to protect against the potential spread of COVID-19 and to comply with relevant governmental—like the CDC or WHO—requirements or recommendations.”
This could include a wide range of things, like temperature checkpoints within the property, including staff or limiting the number of people on the property. “It may make sense for landlords to have the express ability to limit the number of customers present at one time,” says Villalpando. “Building off of these rules, landlords may also want the specific ability to eject or remove people from the shopping center who refuse to comply with the rules and regulations or relevant government requirements. For instance, if a customer of a tenant refuses to wear a mask in the common areas of the shopping center, the landlord would have the right to remove that person from the project.”
Source: “Who Is Responsible for Property Alterations Due to Coronavirus?”

Filed Under: COVID-19

How to Find Commercial Comps Using RPR

July 24, 2020 by CARNM

Commercial practitioners need access to commercial property details, history and data to give their clients the best guidance possible. Finding comparable properties gives you an idea of a property’s current market value, which is a vital part of creating a Broker Opinion of Value (BOV) also known as a Broker Price Opinion (BPO), which helps guide a purchase or listing price decision.
However, getting this done on the commercial side of real estate has always been a little tricky. Commercial comparables have typically been pieced together by visiting various public record websites and/or paying a vendor to collect data and have it packaged up for you to extrapolate and organize. Thankfully, things have gotten much more streamlined and RPR makes it easier than ever.

A Step-by-Step on Using RPR to Pull Commercial Comps

Thanks to partnerships with Brevitas and CREXi, as well as agreements with CIEs, CMLSs, MLSs and TotalCommercial.com, REALTORS® using RPR can search more than 450,000 listings across the country, which includes non-REALTOR® and REALTOR® represented listings.
Perhaps even more impressive and directly connected to commercial comps, is the 55 million off-market properties that are also available, allowing you to look for similar properties to your subject that have recently sold, or are currently listed across the entire nation. Here’s a step-by-step on how it’s done…
  1. Begin by visiting RPR at narrpr.com/commercial
  2. Choose the Go to Search button

  1. Now select All Properties
  2. Enter an area to begin searching for comparable properties:
    • County
    • City
    • Zip Code
    • Neighborhood
  3. Select the Property Types you would like to include in your search results:
    • Commercial
    • Healthcare
    • Hotel/Motel
    • Multifamily
    • Industrial
    • Office
    • Land
    • Restaurant/Bar
    • Retail
    • Shopping Center
    • Special Purpose

  1. If you are looking for on-market comps or current asking lease rates, consider using the Advanced search to refine by:
    • Property status
    • Building size
    • Lot size
    • Units
    • Year built
  2. If you are looking for recently sold comps use the advanced search and plug in the time period you want using the “Within” filter.

    1. You can capture your comps in a list by clicking “Print this page” and create a PDF to email or create a hard copy for your client.

Tip: Print this page literally prints whats on the page. So if you want to print more than 10 and up to 100 properties you can use the Show results dropdown.

  1. View more details about a specific property by selecting its street address, and dive into the details.

Using RPR to gather commercial comp data is a no-brainer. Not just because it’s a rich source of data and property history information, but also because as a REALTOR®, there’s no additional cost to use it.
Source: “How to Find Commercial Comps Using RPR”

Filed Under: All News

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